How Big is the Media Multiplier? Evidence from Dyadic News Data.

Besley; Tim, Hannes Mueller and Thiemo Fetzer

Review of Economics and Statistics, Forthcoming

Economic development in pixels: The limitations of nightlights and new spatially disaggregated measures of consumption and poverty

John Huber and Laura Mayoral

BSE Working Paper nº 1433

Introducing a Global Dataset on Conflict Forecasts and News Topics.

Hannes Mueller, Christopher Rauh and Benjamin Seimon

Data & Policy, forthcoming

Movies

Stelios Michalopoulos and Christopher Rauh

Economic Uncertainty and Divisive Politics: Evidence from the "dos Españas"

Garcia-Uribe; Sandra, Hannes Mueller and Carlos Sanz

The Journal of Economic History, 84 pp. 40 - 73

Building Bridges to Peace: A Quantitative Evaluation of Power-Sharing Agreements

Hannes Mueller and Christopher Rauh

Economic Policy

Floods, Droughts and Environmental Circumscription in Early State Development: The Case of Ancient Egypt

Laura Mayoral and Ola Olsson

Journal of Economic Growth, forthcoming

The hard problem of prediction for conflict prevention

Hannes Mueller and Christopher Rauh

Journal of the European Economic Association, 20(6), 2440-2467

Using past violence and current news to predict changes in violence.

Hannes Mueller and Christopher Rauh

International Interactions 48, 579-596

Groups in Conflict: Private and Public Prizes

Laura Mayoral and Debraj Ray

Journal of Development Economics, 154

Reading between the lines: Prediction of political violence using newspaper text.

Hannes Mueller and Christopher Rauh

American Political Science Review 112, 358-375

Monitoring War Destruction from Space Using Machine Learning

Mueller; Hannes, Andre Groeger, Jonathan Hersh, Andrea Matranga and Joan Serrat

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 118 (23)

The Peace Dividend of Power Sharing: Quantitative Evidence on the Reduction of Political Violence through Negotiation

Hannes Mueller and Christopher Rauh

For German Foreign Office

Dynamic Early Warning and Action Model

Hannes Mueller, Christopher Rauh and Alessandro Ruggieri

For Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office

Social Divisions and Conflict

Joan Esteban and Laura Mayoral

Forthcoming, Handbook of Economics of Conflict, Edited by M.Morelli, D. Ray and T. Sjostrom